TOKYO - The head of the IMF said China and other developing Asian economies are leading a global recovery that is faster and stronger than expected, but warned that money rushing into emerging markets could lead to asset bubbles.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, strongly suggested Monday that the IMF would raise its 2010 global growth forecast from the 3.1 percent it projected in October.

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China, India and other emerging Asian economies were close to returning to their pre-crisis growth rates, while rebounds in the U.S., Japan and other advanced economies remained "sluggish," he said.

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"The forecasts we're going to release in a couple of days will show that this recovery is going faster and stronger than we expected" several months ago, Strauss-Kahn told reporters in Tokyo.

While the IMF doesn't forecast a "double-dip," or second recession, risks remain, he said. "We have to very cautious because this recovery remains very fragile."

While hundreds of billions in stimulus spending by governments around the world avoided another Great Depression, he said, the most important risk facing the global economy is deciding how and when to reverse those polices and deal with resulting debt burdens.

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"Now we have to fix the consequences of the policy that has been put in place to fight against the crisis," he said. "Finding the right time to implement exit policies is really a difficult one."

"If you exit too late, you waste resources," he said. "If you exit too early, you have a risk of going back into recession."

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Last year it was banks; this year it is countries. The economic crisis, which seemed to have eased off in late 2009, is again in full swing as the threat of sovereign default looms.

Europe's leaders are struggling to avert the biggest financial disaster in the euro's 11-year history. Last week all eyes were on Greece. But bond markets are worried about the capacity of Spain, Ireland and Portugal to repay their debts, forcing these countries to increase taxes and cut spending, even as they remain mired in recession.

Europe's troubles have given investors good reason to worry; but they are not the only cause for concern. Policy changes around the world have also spooked investors.

China's government began to rein in its lending binge last month, worried about accelerating inflation and asset bubbles. India's central bank has raised reserve requirements and Brazil's fiscal stimulus is being phased out.

The rich world's big central banks are gradually unwinding the emergency liquidity facilities. "Quantitative easing," -- printing money to buy longer-dated securities -- is coming to an end, or at least being put on hold.

All this has knocked asset prices. Stock markets are down sharply, commodity prices have tumbled and volatility is up. The MSCI World Index of global share prices has fallen by almost 10 per cent from its peak on Jan. 14.

Optimism about a "V"-shaped recovery is being replaced with pessimism about a double-dip recession, as fears grow that policy-makers will be forced, or will mistakenly choose, to remove monetary and fiscal props too soon.

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Three factors will determine whether such fears are justified. The first is the strength of the recovery -- whether it is self-sustaining or still propped up by government stimulus.

The second is the scale of the sovereign-debt problems -- whether Greece is a basket-case all of its own, or investors lose confidence in other heavily indebted governments.

The third is the deftness with which the world's central bankers and finance ministers design and co-ordinate the Clip on hair extensions, withdrawal of policy stimulus.

The picture on global growth increasingly is split. Big emerging economies are in the best shape, with strong growth in domestic demand and scant spare capacity. Countries such as India and Brazil have largely put the crisis behind them.

Given the scale of its government-directed lending binge, China's economy is vulnerable to a sudden clampdown by bureaucrats. But for all the markets' worries, there are few signs that it will tighten too much too fast. A slowing is possible, but a serious stumble seems unlikely.

Not so in the rich world, where there are still few signs of strong private-demand growth. America's latest, buoyant, GDP figures are misleading. Output grew at an annualized rate of 5.7 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2009 mainly because firms were rebuilding their stocks.

With the economy still shedding jobs (albeit at a lower rate), share prices falling, the housing market still wobbly and household debt shrinking, consumer spending is likely to remain subdued. Nor, with plenty of capacity sitting idle, are firms likely to go on an investment binge.

In Europe and Japan the situation is far grimmer. Though exports are recovering, Japan has slipped back into deflation. In the euro zone, recovery was faltering long be
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WASHINGTON - Foreign demand for long-term U.S. financial assets jumped sharply in November, rising to the highest level in more than two years even though China's holdings of Treasury securities fell.

Analysts viewed the big increase as a sign of renewed optimism among foreign investors about economic growth prospects in the United States. Continued strong demand for U.S. debt is critical to financing America's soaring budget deficits and keeping domestic interest rates low enough to support a sustained economic recovery.

The Treasury Department said Tuesday that foreigners purchased $126.8 billion more in assets than they sold in November, the largest gain since an increase of $128.9 billion in October 2007.

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China, the largest holder of U.S. Treasury securities, trimmed its holdings by $9.3 billion in November, pushing them down to $789.6 billion, the smallest level since last June.

Japan, the second largest owner of U.S. Treasuries, boosted its holdings in November by $11.4 billion to $757.3 billion and a number of other nations also increased their holdings as well.

Private purchases of U.S. domestic long-term securities, a category that includes government and corporate investments, jumped to a record $96 billion in November, up from a net increase of $28.4 billion in October.

Analysts said this sharp jump in demand for U.S. investments reflected rising optimism among foreign investors about U.S. Clip on hair extensions, growth prospects.

"On a relative basis, the United States looks good," said Brian Bethune, chief U.S. economist at IHS Global Insight. "Investors are realizing that the U.S. economy is well ahead of Europe and Japan in terms of pulling out of the recession. That means U.S. assets look more attractive."

Some economists said the boost for the United States could also represent in part a flight to safety by investors worried about debt problems in Dubai and such European nations as Greece.

Analysts did not see the one-month drop in China's holdings of U.S. Treasury securities as significant. But Win Thin, senior currency strategist for Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. in New York, said it would be important to watch developments in China in coming months to see if a trend is developing. Chinese government officials have been particularly vocal in expressing their unhappiness with the surging U.S. government deficit.

The amount of U.S. Treasuries held by Britain rose to $277.5 billion while the holdings of Russia climbed to $128.1 billion. Holdings of U.S. Treasuries by Brazil and Hong Kong also rose but the holdings of oil exporting countries fell slightly in November.

China's holdings are a result of the huge trade deficits the United States runs with China. The Chinese take the dollars Americans pay for Chinese products and invest them in Treasury securities and other dollar-denominated assets.

American manufacturers argue that China's huge dollar reserves reflect a strategy by the Chinese government to keep its currency artificially low against the dollar as a way
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Petchem strength points to a cyclical recovery in oil demand

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Link to full report including important disclosures: http:// research1.ml.com/C?q=Fb/MbIkAkUIUBQv367VMnA==&s=edwato

Both crude oil and distillate prices have fallen recently...We recently argued that the upside for oil prices was capped near- term due to a number of factors, including the end of winter. Since we released our note, faster-than-anticipated monetary policy tightening in China, a surge in Greece sovereign risk, and increased regulatory uncertainty in the US financial sector have reduced risk appetite and fuelled a rally in the USD. Crude oil prices have fallen across all regions and middle distillate cracks have eased. And yet, despite this price drop, we still see physical demand for petroleum products continuing to improve.

...but increased petrochemical runs suggest a recovery aheadA surge in petchem demand and a steeply backwardated naphtha market suggest that, in absence of major external shocks, a cyclical recovery for the broader economy is around the corner. Historically, demand for naphtha, a key input into petchem processes, has led demand for other petroleum products. It should be no different this time. With more demand and low refinery capacity utilization, global naphtha stocks are drawing quickly. Currently at $2.10/bbl, front- month NWE naphtha cracks are above the seasonal norm, and backwardation in naphtha and other petchem feeds such as propane or butane could continue in the near-term.

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Tight now, liquid gas supply is increasing in 2H10In addition, we project an 8.6 million tons/year increase in ethylene cracking capacity this year, suggesting that the market will be craving for incremental feedstock. However, a potential increase in OPEC NGL supply of 600 thousand b/d this year should temper propane prices, limiting the upside on naphtha as these new barrels enter the petrochemical stream. Thus, with the end of winter reducing demand for liquid gas and petrochemical units going into maintenance in early March, the strength in the very light ends could start to fade as other parts of the barrel like gasoline and middle distillates start to pick up some steam.

Please see full report for further details...

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Copyright and General Information:Copyright 2009 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated. All rights reserved. iQmethod, iQmethod 2.0, iQprofile, iQtoolkit, iQworks are service marks of Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. iQanalytics, iQcustom, iQdatabase are registered service marks of Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. This information is prepared for the use of Merrill Lynch clients and may not be redistributed, retransmitted or disclosed, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of Merrill Lynch. Merrill Lynch information is distributed simultaneously to internal and client websites and other portals by Merrill Lynch and are not publicly-available materials. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute, retransmit, or disclose to others the contents, opinions, conclusion, or information contained in this information (including any investment recommendations, estimates or price targets) without first obtaining expressed permission from an authorized officer of Merrill Lynch. 2010 Al Bawaba ()

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-- Firm Continues to Expand Research Platform --

NEWPORT BEACH, Calif. -- Global Hunter Securities (鈥淕HS鈥? today announced that its research team achieved a milestone of 100 companies under coverage and continues to ramp up research replica rolex in several sectors, including China, consumer, energy, healthcare, metals & mining and technology. The firm initiated coverage of its first company in October 2007. GHS plans to expand its research team and continue building on its success.

鈥淗itting the 100 mark is a testament to the growth of our company, as well as investor demand for high-quality research,鈥?said Daniel O. Conwill IV, chairman and chief executive officer of Global Hunter. 鈥淲e serve a worldwide audience that depends on a research product that incorporates a deep breadth of knowledge and critical thinking to relay important concepts and timely investment ideas.鈥?

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鈥淕HS analysts are experts in the respective sectors they cover. Our ability to provide insightful research during a critical period for financial markets is imperative for the clients we serve,鈥?said Justin Cable, director of research at GHS. 鈥淲e leverage the intellectual capital of our analysts and strategists to deliver a superior product that integrates a variety of top-down, bottom-up, qualitative and quantitative analyses tailored to fit our customers鈥?needs.鈥?

Recent initiations include China-based Zoom Technologies, Inc. (NasdaqCM: ZOOM); consumer companies, including 1-800-FLOWERS.com, Inc. (NasdasqGS: FLWS) and Coinstar, Inc. (NasdaqGS: CSTR); exploration & production companies, including Magnum Hunter Resources Corp. (NYSE-AMEX: MHR) and Venoco, Inc. (NYSE: VQ); oilfield services & equipment companies, including Oil States International, Inc. (NYSE: OIS) and Superior Well Services, Inc. (NasdaqGS: SWSI); healthcare companies, including Novavax, Inc. (NasdaqGM: NVAX) and NuVasive, Inc. (NasdaqGS: NUVA); metals & mining companies, including Galaxy Resources (ASX: GXY) and Oz Minerals (ASX: OZL); and technology services company, iGate Corporation (NasdaqGS: IGTE).

About Global Hunter Securities

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Global Hunter Securities, LLC is a full service investment bank focusing on middle market corporate and institutional clients around the world. We provide insightful research, innovative capital raising and financial advisory services supported by a sales and trading staff with world-wide reach. The firm has offices in Los Angeles, New York, Houston, New Orleans, Newport Beach and Hong Kong, as well as a strong presence and reputation in mainland China.

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Quote "Hes all right. Hes got a little bit of swelling. You guys have to understand. When youre a juco, you dont have anything. They give you a practice jersey. You bring your own shorts and socks and shoes. And anything people give you, you put it on." BOB HUGGINS On Casey Mitchells wrapped knee

Names in the games

West Liberty's Amedro a Harlon Hill finalist

West Liberty junior quarterback Zach Amedro was among three finalists invited Monday to the 24th annual rolex replica Harlon Hill Trophy presentation banquet Dec. 11.

Amedro along with Wayne State running back Joique Bell and Arkansas Tech QB Nick Graziano will vie for the honor of top player in NCAA Division II football.

Amedro, a former standout at John Marshall High, threw for 4,945 yards and 49 touchdowns in leading the Hilltoppers to an 11-2 record and a quarterfinals appearance.

Marshall's Whiteside earns C-USA honor

Marshall freshman center Hassan Whiteside was named the Conference USA men's basketball rookie of the week Monday.

The Gastonia, N.C., native, just missed a replica clothing triple-double with 14 points, 17 rebounds and nine blocks in a 60-53 win Saturday over Ohio in Charleston. Whiteside tied the school record for blocks in a single game while setting the conference mark by a freshman. He also tallied 14 points and 12 boards in the an 87-74 victory over Lamar.

Dunbar's Lemon wins

Carol Lemon of Dunbar went 14-1 to win the $75 weekly prize in the Gazette's
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Lemon's only miss was South Charleston's win over Bridgeport. Lemon won the tiebreaker, guessing 36 points for Cincinnati's 16-7 win over Cleveland.

MU selling tickets

Tickets are now on sale through the Marshall ticket office for the Herd-WVU Capital Classic basketball game Jan. 20 at the Civic Center.

The tickets are located in the upper bowl and are $24 apiece. Tickets may be purchased online at or by calling 800-THE-HERD.

Today's birthday Lee Trevino, 1939 29 PGA wins, 6 major titles

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TYRES left to grow old and tired are nothing short of useless, writes Maurice Hardy. But sadly, many of us give them no more than a cursory kick as we pass the car on the driveway.

The most important function of the tyre is to give the car a contact point with the road. Often this is no larger than the area of the sole of a shoe, so you can see what hard work tyres have to do to keep a speeding car on the straight and narrow.

Taking good care of tyres is therefore of the utmost importance and if you think your tyres have been damaged in any way, for instance by replica rolex striking heavily against the kerb or hitting an object in the road while travelling at speed, you should have them checked over. By law, tyres must have a minimum tread depth of 1.6 tag heuer replica mm across the central three quarters of the tread area and all round the outer circumference, but it''s sensible to regard your tyres as needing replacing once they get down to 2mm, if not before.

And when you have them replaced, make sure you go the little bit extra by having the tracking and balance checked, too, as they will then last much longer. There's a temptation to cut corners and buy used, part-worn tyres but it should be avoided. It's impossible to know what abuses they have suffered in the past and whether there's hidden damage that could provoke a fatal blow-out.

Go for a make of tyre that's reputable, too. I bought a motorhome and found some obscure rubber fitted that came from China.

They may have been brilliant, but I took no chances and fitted a mainstream European brand for peace of mind. If you have a similar vehicle or caravan, that does low mileage, remember that sunlight will damage and crack the side walls long before the treads are worn down so the tyres
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Campaigns raised more than $290M

Ask Elaine Goldie back in 1985 if she'd ever see a personal cheque to the University of Manitoba for $10 million that a bank would actually cash, and she'd likely have laughed.

Not now.

Retiring after almost 25 years as U of M's fundraiser, Goldie has seen cheques for about $23 million from Bill Gates, $20 million from Marcel A. Desautels, rolex replica and $10 million apiece from Izzy Asper and Clayton Riddell.

Her first capital campaign set a goal of $42 million and raised $55 million, her second aimed for $100 million and collected $237 million.

Oops, $237.5 million, to be precise.

Not bad for someone whose hiring in 1985 doubled the full-time fundraising staff at U of M to two -- plus a part-time secretary.

That was when fundraising required a telephone book and a lot of envelopes and stamps. "The records we had from the alumni association were on recipe cards," and the university usually waited for donors to step forward, Goldie said.

Now, she has email addresses for 38,000 grads and senior officials travel to Toronto, Hong Kong, Los Angeles, and other major cities to meet with alumni, many of whom have gone on to great success.

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"Now, it's very proactive," she said.

Goldie was a stay-at-home mom of three kids after graduating from then-Brandon College, but in 1979 got her first taste of heavy-duty volunteering with the United Way. She served on United Way with U of M administrators, and by 1985 they were asking her to work for the university.

Goldie is retiring Dec. 23 as U of M's first vice-president external, but she's proud to call herself a fundraiser. "Absolutely, and I'm not embarrased by it. I don't know why people don't believe fundraisers are professionals," she said.

That second capital campaign, Building on Strengths, broke records when it ended in 2003 and produced far more student financial aid than anyone expected.

People who step forward to donate without being contacted "usually want to support students. Students still appear to support human capital above infrastructure," especially small donors.

Goldie hires students to conduct the annual fundraising campaign among alumni, and she keeps her eye out for grads who regularly attend university events and show that they're connected to their school.

"It's always more expensive to do broad-based fundraising," but that leads to personal connections which can produce many years of annual donations -- and possibly bequests through a grad's estate.

Right now, the economy is tough, cutting deeply into annual gifts of stocks and securities, Goldie said.

New capital campaigns
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So the next capital campaign may not be that far away, though Goldie declined to speculate whether it would focus on whatever plans U of M develops for the Southwood golf course lands it now owns.

"David (president David Barnard), I hope, would be interested in running a capital campaign," Goldie said. "The biggest unknown is the health of the economy."

And that campaign could be looking at raising around a quarter-billion dollars over five years, the last campai
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